The drought-induced run-up in corn prices is a reminder that we’re
nowhere near solving the problem of feeding the world. The price surge,
the third major international food price spike in the last five years,
casts more doubt on the assumption that widespread economic development
leads to corresponding gains in agriculture.
Consider Africa, which is often considered to have turned a corner and
to be headed toward steady growth. The expansion of the African middle
class and the decline in child mortality rates are both quite real, but
the advances have not been balanced — and agriculture lags behind.
In a recent address, Michael Lipton, an economist
in Britain, offered a sobering look at Africa’s agricultural
productivity. He suggests that Rwanda and Ghana are gaining, but that
most of the continent is not.
One huge problem is that the price of fertilizer
in Africa is often two to four times the world price. Yet African soil
and rainfall make much of the continent for growing food. In
other words, the region that probably needs fertilizer the most also has
to pay the most for it, and much of Africa doesn’t have the prosperity
to make this an easy stretch. The high prices result in large part from
infrastructure and trade networks that aren’t developed enough to create
a low-cost and competitive market.
In contrast, much of Africa’s growth has come from resource wealth —
such as oil, diamonds, gold and strategic minerals — and, unfortunately,
resource prices are notoriously volatile. Resource wealth is less
well-suited to supporting sustainable democracies, because it tends to
be connected with state-backed privileges and other legally entrenched
entities. The Norwegian government manages its oil wealth just fine, for
example, but autocracies and fledgling democracies are more likely to
be corrupted.
WHAT to do? First, put food problems higher on the agenda. In the United
States, there is no general consciousness of the precarious state of
global agriculture. Even in the economics profession, the field of
agricultural economics is often viewed as secondary in status.Second, the United States government should stop subsidizing its own corn-based biofuels,
mainly ethanol. Today, about 40 percent of America’s field corn goes
into bio fuels, thanks to a subsidy and regulatory policy dating from
2005.
The world is not yet in that happy situation where “what’s for dinner?” is a boring question.
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